2024 CWS Betting Guide
2024 Super Regional Betting Guide
2024 Regional Betting Guide

CWS Central

The final 8 teams with probability to win the CWS that updates daily. These probabilities are created by assigning a win probability for every possible team and pitching matchup (for example Drew Beam of Tennessee vs Ryan Prager of Texas A&M returns a win probability of 52.44% for Tennessee. These individual game probabilities are generated using total season, last month, and last three month expected runs scored which is weighted by opponent SOS as well as park factor). This matrix of win probabilities is then used to simulate the CWS tournament format: two double elimination brackets where the winner of each faces off in a best of 3 series. For each individual game, a random pitcher is selcted for each team from a list of their top 3 starting pitchers. The simulation is ran 100,000 times. After each team plays once, these probabiltiies will be updated to reflect how that improves or hurts their chances.
WIN CWS: 100.00%
Record 60-13
RPI 1
SOS 27
ERA 3.95
xFIP 4.13
SIERA 3.16
K/9 9.97
BB/9 3.06
K-BB% 0.18
AVG 0.312
OPS 1.033
wRC+ 176
SB 47
DBL 152
HR 175
WIN CWS: 0.00%
Record 49-17
RPI 8
SOS 28
ERA 4.99
xFIP 4.69
SIERA 3.50
K/9 10.89
BB/9 4.76
K-BB% 0.15
AVG 0.316
OPS 0.976
wRC+ 158
SB 64
DBL 135
HR 124
WIN CWS: 0.00%
Record 46-17
RPI 12
SOS 32
ERA 5.43
xFIP 5.10
SIERA 4.24
K/9 8.36
BB/9 4.43
K-BB% 0.10
AVG 0.334
OPS 1.001
wRC+ 159
SB 88
DBL 149
HR 116
WIN CWS: 0.00%
Record 36-30
RPI 30
SOS 1
ERA 6.12
xFIP 4.70
SIERA 3.63
K/9 10.60
BB/9 4.74
K-BB% 0.14
AVG 0.272
OPS 0.885
wRC+ 134
SB 41
DBL 110
HR 131
WIN CWS: 0.00%
Record 46-16
RPI 3
SOS 9
ERA 4.93
xFIP 5.17
SIERA 3.95
K/9 9.13
BB/9 4.43
K-BB% 0.12
AVG 0.286
OPS 0.898
wRC+ 129
SB 119
DBL 129
HR 87
WIN CWS: 0.00%
Record 48-16
RPI 4
SOS 15
ERA 4.22
xFIP 5.05
SIERA 3.91
K/9 8.84
BB/9 3.92
K-BB% 0.12
AVG 0.306
OPS 0.940
wRC+ 145
SB 84
DBL 113
HR 113
WIN CWS: 0.00%
Record 53-15
RPI 2
SOS 16
ERA 3.96
xFIP 4.24
SIERA 2.99
K/9 10.82
BB/9 3.30
K-BB% 0.19
AVG 0.300
OPS 0.975
wRC+ 158
SB 78
DBL 124
HR 132
WIN CWS: 0.00%
Record 38-23
RPI 15
SOS 3
ERA 6.06
xFIP 5.30
SIERA 4.17
K/9 9.04
BB/9 4.93
K-BB% 0.10
AVG 0.289
OPS 0.889
wRC+ 131
SB 44
DBL 102
HR 100